Max Verstappen’s quest for a fifth consecutive F1 World Championship in 2025 faces a steep uphill battle, according to former Grand Prix driver Ralf Schumacher.
The ex-Jordan, Williams, and Toyota racer have delivered a stark warning, claiming that even Verstappen’s renowned ability to salvage tough seasons won’t be enough this time around.
Verstappen and Red Bull dominated the early years of F1’s ground effect regulations, but their grip loosened in 2024. After a strong start, they endured a 10-race winless streak, yet Verstappen still clinched his fourth straight title with two rounds to spare, fending off a fierce challenge from McLaren’s Lando Norris.
However, questions now swirl about where Red Bull stands heading into the new season with their latest car, the RB21.
Pre-season testing in Bahrain raised eyebrows among fans and insiders alike. Red Bull’s technical director Pierre Wache admitted the RB21 “did not respond how we wanted at times,” while Verstappen himself has downplayed expectations for the season opener in Melbourne. “There’s work to do,” Verstappen said at a Viaplay event.
“McLaren are the favorites if you look at the lap times. For us, not everything went completely smoothly in testing. But we have some ideas on how to improve the car. I’ve been spending a lot of time in the simulator with the team.
“I don’t think we can compete for victory in Melbourne, but hopefully we can make improvements within a few races.”
Despite the Dutchman’s cautious optimism, Schumacher remains unconvinced. Speaking on the Sky Germany podcast, he said, “Last year, Red Bull were very strong at the start, but then they couldn’t handle the car. Verstappen was the rescue act.
“This time, he’ll have to get used to everything coming to an end. I don’t think he has a chance.”
Adding intrigue to Verstappen’s 2025 campaign are lingering rumours about his future. Although tied to Red Bull until 2028, team principal Christian Horner confirmed last year that Verstappen’s contract includes a “performance element.”
Speculation suggests that if Verstappen languishes outside the top three in the standings for a prolonged period, he could activate an exit clause. Schumacher hinted this could play a role, adding, “Maybe that will help in his decision about a next step. I seriously think he’s going to struggle.”
Meanwhile, Red Bull has shaken up their driver lineup for 2025. Sergio Perez has departed, replaced by Liam Lawson, who steps up from VCARB after 11 grands prix with the junior team. Verstappen will hope his new teammate can help push the squad forward as they aim to rediscover their winning form.
The 2025 season kicks off with the Australian Grand Prix on March 16, where the teams will battle over 58 laps of the 5.278-kilometre Albert Park circuit.
For Verstappen and Red Bull, it’s shaping up as a critical early test in what could be a defining year. With McLaren tipped as the frontrunner and doubts circling the RB21, the reigning champion’s title defense hangs in the balance.
