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Dutch Open 2022 Best Bets

Dutch Open 2022

Damien Kayat previews the Dutch Open 2022 and provides us with his Man to Beat and Value Bets for the tournament.

Last week’s drama at Southern Hills was agonizing viewing for aficionados of European golf.  Justin Thomas held his nerve to claim his 2nd Major Championship in a chaotic event that was as temperamental as the Tulsa weather.  McIlroy, Fitzpatrick and Fleetwood flirted with contention on the final day.  But you always had the feeling that they would somehow self-implode. 

McIlroy looked visibly shaken after yet another close call in a Major Championship.  But you can’t expect to win Majors with a dysfunctional wedge game.  The DP World Tour offers some comparatively stress-free action this weekend with the latest instalment of one of the granddaddy events in European golf: the KLM Open. 

The Dutch Open has been an ever-present fixture on the European Tour since its inception in 1972.  It’s had some illustrious former champions, with names such as Locke, Ballesteros and Langer etched into its history.  Sergio Garcia won this event as recently as 2019. 

The 2020 Dutch Open was cancelled due to Covid, making this the 102nd staging of this event.  It has some of its lustre in recent years.  Though in fairness, which European event hasn’t?  This is further evidenced by the fact that KLM have withdrawn their sponsorship for this year’s event.  This is a nomadic event and this will be the 2nd consecutive edition held at Bernardus Golf Course. 

This course was designed by American architect Kyle Phillips.  Phillips is a links specialist who is responsible for masterpieces such as Kingsbarns and the Grove.  Though it is described as a Heathland test, Bernardus is a true links assignment.  It has typically wide-open fairways that make driving accuracy somewhat irrelevant.  I’m inclined to favour length over accuracy this week: this is a bit of a beast at 7, 425 yards.  It’s hard to make too many assumptions about Bernardus after just one edition.  But it’s an extremely gettable course that requires birdies (though there is some expected this week).  This could devolve into something of a putting contest come Sunday afternoon.

Kristoffer Broberg returns to defend his title this year.  The Swede held on to win last year despite a farcical Sunday implosion.  Bernd Wiesberger makes logical sense this week after a creditable top 30 finish at Southern Hills.  But he been slightly tepid with the putter this season.  Pieters won the Abu Dhabi Championship in January (which happened to be played on  another Kyle Phillips design: Yas Links).  But he has been pretty subdued since that victory.  The Hojgaard twins are in town while British Masters champ Thorbjorn Olesen looks to add another chapter to his rehabilitation narrative. 

Past Winners – Dutch Open 

2021: Kristoffer Broberg (-23)
2020: event cancelled
2019: Sergio Garcia (-18)
2018: Ashun Wu (-16)
2017: Romain Wattel (-15)
2016: Joost Luiten (-19)

Betting Favourites – Dutch Open 2022

(To Win):
Bernd Wiesberger (20/1)
Thomas Pieters (22/1)
Adrian Meronk (22/1)
Jordan Smith (25/1)
Ryan Fox (25/1)

Value Bets – Dutch Open 2022

Ryan Fox
To Win (22/1)

Ryan Fox has already won on the DP World Tour this year and this course sets up perfectly for him.  The New Zealander is a true links specialist (he finished runner-up at the 2018 Irish Open).   He pummels the ball down the fairways and will have a real license to let it rip this week.  He was 3rd in Belgium this month and finished 15th around here last year.  He is ranked inside the top 10 for scoring this season and looks terrific value at 22/1.

George Coetzee
To Win (40/1)

I think this looks like a good price for five-time European champion Coetzee.  The South African has been operating nicely below the radar this year.  He finished 9th at the Ras al Khaimah Classic, 4th at the MyGolfLife Open and 3rd at the Sunshine Tour Championship.  His aggressive style should be well suited to these sprawling, open fairways.  But crucially, Coetzee is perennially one of the most consistent putters on the tour.  This should come in handy on a course this inviting. 

The Man to Beat- Dutch Open 2022

Bernd Wiesberger
To Win (20/1)

I think Wiesberger is exceptional value this week as a 20/1 favourite.  As I noted earlier, his putting has been something of a let-down this season.  But he did finish inside the 30 for Putting Average at a punishing Southern Hills course.  I think this could give him the impetus to succeed this week.  He is an excellent links player who has the imagination to score on a course like this.  He won last year’s Made in Denmark after missing the cut at the US PGA Championship.  He looked far more competitive at Southern Hills and I think he will be dangerous this week. 

Bet on the Dutch Open 2022 at www.hollywoodbets.co.uk or www.hollywoodbets.ie

Dutch Open 2022

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